“But that doesn't mean a blowout is necessarily more likely, it just means there are fewer states that aren't competitive from the start.”. “Alaskans are eager to have an independent voice in the U.S. Senate,” said Dr. The Pebble mine enriches the “already rich” and Dan Sullivan is in their pockets. Sullivan and Gross are locked in a tight race, according to a late September poll, conducted by a Super PAC aligned with Gross. The latest poll on the race for Alaska’s U.S. Senate seat gives Democrat-backed independent challenger Al Gross a one-point lead against Republican U.S. Sen. Dan Sullivan. Click here to apply. A crowdfunded poll shows a close race in Alaska, typically a safely Republican state, with President Trump and incumbent Sen. Dan Sullivan leading their general election opponents by … Any election results reported on November 3rd will be incomplete and inaccurate. A July 17 poll from Alaska Survey Research had Sullivan up 13 points, and a July 9 poll from Public Policy Polling had him up five points. Sullivan has been a staunch ally of President Donald Trump, voting against his impeachment earlier this year. Florida and North Carolina, two states the president won narrowly in 2016, are toss-ups. In 2010, moderate Republican Lisa Murkowski defeated Tea Party-backed candidate and GOP nominee Joe Miller by garnering over 100,000 write-in votes. This content was created by a Daily Kos Community member. Trump won Alaska, which has 3 electoral votes, by a wide margin against Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton, 51.2% to 36.5%. It would not be surprising to see Biden won some or all of those states. At this point in 2016, Trump only trailed Clinton by 2.7 points. Watch 'SNL' Tackle The Debate, Village People And Bachelor, Dinner Off As Italy Closes Restaurants Early In Virus Crackdown, Treaty Banning Nuclear Weapons To Enter Into Force, Italy Protesters, Police Clash Over Virus Curbs As Countries Battle Case Surges, Walmart Terrorized By Skunk In Shoe Department, The Possibilities AND the Pitfalls of Remote Work, 10 Of America's Top CEOs Talk with IBT's Social Capital About How To Be Authentic. We must have accurate and complete results. “As the parties continue to re-align, with some Southern suburbs becoming more swing but the old ‘blue wall’ Democratic states moving right … the competitive territory is going to be broader than it was in 2016,” said GOP pollster Chris Wilson. “Never in my wildest dreams would I have thought I’d see a presidential race at 1 point here,” Felkel said. A New York Times/Siena College survey released Friday shows Republican incumbent Sen. Dan Sullivan leading independent challenger Al Gross by 8 points in Alaska’s Senate race, 45% to 37%. Sen. Dan Sullivan (Jeff Chen/Alaska Public Media) U.S. Sen. Dan Sullivan is leading challenger Al Gross in a new poll of likely Alaska voters. The schtick is old and if it’s old in South Carolina, that doesn’t bode well.”. You have until October 24th to request your absentee ballot. “Alaskans are eager to have an independent voice in the U.S. Senate,” said Dr. Sen. Dan Sullivan (Jeff Chen/Alaska Public Media) U.S. Sen. Dan Sullivan is leading challenger Al Gross in a new poll of likely Alaska voters. Senator in an awful year for Democrats nationwide and lower mid-term turnout. There is no economy without healthy fisheries. Daily Kos moves in solidarity with the Black community. Gross supports a public healthcare option and abortion rights. © 2019 MidnightSunAK.com – Designed & Maintained by IWS Design, Friday in the Sun (Oct. 23): The ‘Safe, relative to other pandemics’ edition, WELCH: Al Gross is no silent enabler. The survey of 424 likely voters, conducted Oct. 9-14, has a 5.7 point margin of error. If Trump can defend the bulk of the 2016 map, and keep Biden to only winning back two of three former “blue wall” states, he’ll win reelection. There is no economy without dealing with climate change. Let’s keep up the momentum to flip Alaska Blue. The surveys were released before Trump and first lady Melania TrumpMelania TrumpPence adviser Marty Obst tests positive for COVID-19 Documents show Trump campaign ignored coronavirus guidelines at Duluth rally: report Two Loeffler staffers test positive for COVID-19 MORE tested positive for the coronavirus, extraordinary news with uncertain implications for the race. A Harstad Strategic Research poll from earlier in the week found Gross ahead by 1 percentage point, but the the New York Times/Siena College poll is highly rated for its methods, winning an A+ grade from FiveThirtyEight.com. The poll was conducted between Oct. 10 and Oct. 13 with a self-reported 4% margin of error and is the third such poll conducted by the firm. Those polls come as … Gross has the support of 47% of the 606 Alaska likely voters covered in the poll to Sullivan’s 46%, according to a polling memo released Harstad Strategic Research. Polling shows Gross has gained a slight lead over Sullivan in three polls conducted by Harstad Research. When Republican Dan Sullivan ran for this seat in 2014, the outcome was very much in doubt. She welcomes your news tips at lruskin (at) alaskapublic (dot) org  |. On Friday September 18, 2020, Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg, a women's rights icon, died at 87. With Gross recently out-fundraising his opponent, the … Even with the cascade of bad recent polling for Trump, the president still has a 20 percent chance of winning the election, according to the FiveThirtyEight model. Biden is also running close with Trump in traditionally red states, such as Texas, Georgia, South Carolina and Alaska, and in states the president won easily in 2016, such as Ohio and Iowa. The poll was conducted Oct. 9-14. ), AK-Sen: New Poll Has Dr. Al Gross (I) Leading Sen. Dan Sullivan (R) 47-46, according to a polling memo released Harstad Strategic Research, Ways to get involved in the 2020 Election. Gross. Biden leads Trump by 7.2 points nationally in the RealClearPolitics average. (This content is not subject to review by Daily Kos staff prior to publication. Gross, a 58-year-old doctor and commercial fisherman, is an independent with liberal views. She also freelanced for several years from the U.K. and Japan, in print and radio. The president won the Electoral College 304 to 227 against Hillary ClintonHillary Diane Rodham ClintonObama slams Trump in Miami: 'Florida Man wouldn't even do this stuff' Ballot initiatives in Colorado, Louisiana could restrict abortion access Trump mocks Joe Biden's drive-in rallies at North Carolina event MORE. Dan Sullivan’s had six years to get Alaska back on track and he’s failed on all accounts. The state has not gone for the Democratic nominee in more than 40 years. Republicans are worried Trump’s weakness, coupled with the enormous money and energy flowing toward Harrison, might cost them Graham’s Senate seat. The New York Times’ Nate Cohn said it was the pollster’s first attempt to gauge public opinion in the state, and on Twitter he acknowledged trouble reaching the target number of rural and Native voters. “Al Gross will empower national Democrats and their agenda, which is anti-Alaska, anti resource development and anti-second amendment.”. She was born in Anchorage and is a West High grad. Let’s keep up the momentum to flip Alaska Blue. He won’t put Party, personal ambition above Alaskans, Lance Pruitt must really be in trouble because he’s sounding a lot like Speaker Edgmon, LEE: The case against pineapple pizza… and Dan Sullivan, Without new federal aid, Alaska’s pandemic-driven economic woes could become a long-term nightmare, on "Gross gains slight lead on Sullivan in latest poll", according to a polling memo released Harstad Strategic Research, Republicans make up ground on second day of in-person voting: State of the Race. In Alaska, where the president triumphed by 15 points in the last election, Trump and Biden are in a statistical dead heat, according to new data from Harstad Strategic Research. The same New York Times/Siena College poll found Congressman Don Young, a Republican, ahead of independent Alyse Galvin, 49% to 41%. A new post-debate survey from CNBC released on Thursday put Biden’s national lead at 13 points over Trump, a landslide margin.